Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. . There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Tap or hover to see names. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Press Enter to view state-level map. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. We may not know results in PA fordays. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Is Missouri a red state? It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? It is not a red state. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Same caution about borders applies. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Special elections, if any, are excluded. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. The Hill . Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. It feels like the new Florida. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. I don't know where to begin! By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. But. Gov. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. These are general election results for the years listed. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. 10. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. 4, another 2020 red state. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Special elections, if any, are excluded. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Explained! This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. All three of those states were very close in both elections. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Republican [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. Special elections, if any, are excluded. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. He held his own in . We identify swing states as. It is not a red state. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Next is Alabama at No. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. The key swing region is the. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Success! Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Hi everyone from D.C.! Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. There was an error processing your request. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Anita What do you want to know? - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote.